The Venture Edge

Now is not the time to be frittering away your marketing time and money on prospects who offer you the least possible chance of paying off in the near term. Now is the time to focus your marketing efforts on the potential customers and clients who offer you the best chance of a return sooner rather than later. And who exactly might these best marketing prospects be? Well, your current customers and clients of course!

I have to thank Nassim Nicholas Taleb for writing one of the best business books I’ve read in a long time—The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. It has really changed the way I think about start-ups, success, failure, and the ubiquitous and annoying bell curve. Let me explain. Taleb’s core thesis is that the inventions, companies, and events that have the biggest impact on society, either positively or negatively, are not predictable. You can’t see them coming because there are no obvious signs announcing their arrival. In other words, you can’t plan for Black Swans (BS). You can’t, for example, come up with a business concept and an ingenious strategy to create the next Google (a Black Swan business). Even the founders of Google didn’t know when they started what impact their little search engine would have. After all, there were plenty of other search engines out there. Why did the funky, plain toast version offered by Google hit the mark? The truth is: BS technologies, inventions, and businesses—those that change the world—are rare events that hit us when we’re not looking and when we least expect them.

The other day I sat in on an angel investor screening where two entrepreneurs were pitching their businesses for capital.  If you ever get the opportunity to do that you should, because it’s a great learning experience.  As many times as I’ve heard people pitch their businesses and as many times as I’ve coached people in their preparation to pitch, I always either learned something new or reminded myself of something I had forgotten.  This session was an eye opener.